Saturday, April 30, 2016

Report: Center City thriving but cracks threaten progress



Philadelphia continues to prove that it is a destination for companies, tourists, conventions and real estate investment, but the positive trajectory the city is on is a tenuous one and may not last if some long-standing issues continue to go unaddressed, according to Center City District’s newly issued annual State of Center City report.

“...The status quo is unacceptable— with high unemployment and chronic poverty in too many communities,” said Paul R. Levy, president and CEO of the special services district in the forward to the report. “Once again, it takes committed leadership willing to acknowledge challenges and take risks.”


The inroads Philadelphia made in the last year and the culmination of the last decade is remarkable and CCD’s annual report highlights many of those achievements. Among the most notable is the extraordinary and unprecedented investment in real estate, much of which is driven by demographic and re-urbanization trends. More than $8.5 billion in major developments were either completed last year or now in the pipeline. Those developments combined to total 27.8 million square feet of new space.

When broken down, it shows:

·         Eleven projects totaling $200 million were completed in Center City last year;
·         Forty-two projects valued at $5.2 billion were under construction; and
·         Twenty-nine projects totaling $3 billion have been announced.
·         Residential projects account for the bulk of the developments. Half of the 82 projects that the annual report has tallied are mixed-use with a large residential component and 11 are solely residential. There are 10,721 residential units that have been completed or in the works. A lingering question continues to be whether demand will keep up with supply.

Other sectors are also getting an infusion of new construction such as lodging. There are 2,772 rooms being added to the city. More than 3.5 million square feet of commercial space — Comcast's new skyscraper is 1.5 million square feet of that — and more than 2.8 million square feet of retail space are also being added to the city.

Much of the new development is being driven by the city’s population growing by 17 percent since 2000, which is a notable reversal of a decades-long trend of Philadelphia losing residents mostly to surrounding suburbs. Tourists and conventioneers visiting the city, the growth in eds and meds, and the modest expansion of the private jobs sector also have contributed to the onslaught of new construction but therein lies the fissures that threaten the progress that has been made.

“Job growth remains uneven,” Levy said.

While some areas, such as health services and education, are up, professional and business jobs are down with finance, real estate and communications showing sharp declines.

That lack of job growth has essentially depressed average office rents. While office space in Midtown Manhattan goes for $80.97 a square foot, $55.60 a square foot in Boston and $51.35 in Washington D.C., the highest rents in Center City are $29.18 a square foot.

That's the way it has been for decades.

While some will argue that stagnate rent growth is what makes Philadelphia so affordable, it actually highlights the city's shortcomings. In other words, it's not a compliment to be so affordable. The city has 28 percent fewer jobs than it did in 1970 and remains 5 percent below levels from the 1990s.

 “Since 2010, large cities have outperformed the overall economy,” the CCD report said. “Nationally, while private-sector jobs have grown annually at 2.1 percent, the 25 most populous cities grew at 2.7 percent per year. Philadelphia has lagged at 0.9 percent per year.”

While the hospitality sector also appears to be thriving, there are cracks there. Even though the city’s hotel occupancy rate last year stood at a record 76.7 percent with 3.1 million occupied hotel rooms, the average daily room rate of $182 declined when adjusted for inflation. Why? A lack of business travelers and the departure of corporate headquarters from the city.

Other worries include the poor public schools and the high rate of poverty.

“It’s time,” as Levy said, “to stop settling for second-rate growth and create many more opportunities for all city residents, new immigrants and for graduates of our colleges and universities.”

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