DVL Group's Mike Beck can't find technicians for his
Bristol air-conditioning company. Or even fresh electrical engineering
graduates: "They want more money than ever," he said.
At Penn Jersey Paper Co. in Northeast Philadelphia, human
resource manager Adam Carne would like to know how to retain $15-an-hour
warehouse workers. "It's a little bit of a challenge," he said.
"The company is hiring at all levels."
"Retention, retention, retention - that's our number
one initiative for 2016," said Kelly Andress, president of Sage Senior
Living, a Springfield, Delaware County, company that owns and operates assisted
living facilities. And no wonder. To attract staff, Andress has to pay more
than she did last year in starting wages, meaning that everyone in the
organization gets a bump up.
Local executives at a business breakfast Friday ratified
what a survey released that morning had concluded:
Despite the slide on Wall Street, despite angst over
China, and despite concerns locally about the 1,700 employees the DuPont Co. is
laying off starting this month, the region's employers are optimistic.
Business will be better in 2016, local business owners
said in the survey, released Friday by the MidAtlantic Employers' Association,
host of the breakfast. Sales will be up, and 91 percent say they will either
expand or maintain current staffing levels in 2016. The association is part of
a network of 33 regional employers' associations, and provides human resources
and economic consulting to medium-size companies, those employing about 100 to
150 workers.
In fact, if there's any challenge for these companies,
it's finding enough workers, on all levels - from replacing middle managers
laid off during the recession to finding low-wage workers at the bottom of the
pay scale.
To cope, 51 percent of employers are raising starting
salaries, the survey said.
"Entry level is becoming more challenging,"
Kevin Robins, chief executive of the association, told the group. "Three
or four years ago, we would have said that's not a challenge."
The main speaker at Friday's breakfast was the economist
Joel Naroff, whose basic message was, "I told you so."
Over the last two years, Naroff, who writes monthly for
The Inquirer and regularly speaks to the group in January, predicted a labor
shortage, and warned employers that they would have to raise wages and
implement retention practices if they did not want to fall behind in the
competition for bodies, let alone talent.
"We're in a situation of emerging labor shortages
across the board," he said. Naroff predicted that the national
unemployment rate, at 5 percent, would fall to 4.3 percent or 4.4 percent
nationally and a bit higher locally.
He said, and the survey buttressed his opinion, that
finding employees is a bigger challenge than the cost of materials or energy.
"Get your retention plans in place," he said.
"If you haven't already gotten them in place, you are already in
trouble."
Falling energy costs are benefiting companies and
consumers, he said, unless companies are in the energy business. In 2015,
Naroff said, energy companies shed 130,000 jobs, not including those in
companies that service the industry.
One of those is Gallagher Fluid Seals Inc., in King of
Prussia, which reduced its staff from 60 to 55 last year.
"Our business is down 5 percent than the year
before," company president Joseph Gallagher said. His company distributes
seals used by equipment in the oil drilling business. The company had record
sales from 2010 to 2013: "This oil and gas thing caught us by
surprise."
Source: Philly.com
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