This month's increase in nonresidential construction spending is far more consistent with the anecdotal information floating around the industry, says ABC's Chief Economist Anirban Basu.
Nonresidential construction spending bounced back in
October, expanding 1 percent on a monthly basis and 4.3 percent year over year,
according to a Dec. 2 release from the U.S. Census Bureau. Spending for the
month totaled $611.8 billion on a seasonally adjusted, annualized basis.
Additionally, the government revised the September spending figure up to $605.8
billion from $596.1 billion.
"This month's increase in nonresidential
construction spending is far more consistent with the anecdotal information
floating around the industry, which generally indicates that firms are becoming
busier and that backlog is expanding," said Associated Builders and
Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu. "Although last month's
numbers for nonresidential construction spending and employment were
disappointing and could have implied the nation's nonresidential construction
recovery is stalling, that is not the case.
"The outlook for 2015 remains upbeat," said
Basu. "The economy has gained momentum over the past six to seven months
and that is consistent with more aggressive construction starts and spending
during the year to come. Even as the economy has gained momentum, the Federal
Reserve has remained extraordinarily accommodative due in part to benign
inflation readings. Low interest rates combined with solid economic momentum
likely mean expansion for the nonresidential construction industry during the
year ahead.".
Eleven of the 16 nonresidential construction subsectors
posted monthly increases in spending. Here's a recap:
• Office-related construction spending grew by 2 percent in October and is up 16.3 percent from the same time one year ago.
• Lodging construction spending is up 3.3 percent on a monthly basis and is up 15.9 percent on a year-over-year basis.
• Conservation and development-related construction spending grew 4.6 percent for the month and is up 33.1 percent on a yearly basis.
• Spending in the water supply category expanded 0.9 percent on a monthly basis, but is down 1.8 percent on a year-over-year basis.
• Amusement and recreation-related construction spending expanded 2.2 percent in October and is up 1.4 percent from the same time last year.
• Manufacturing-related spending expanded 3.4 percent on a monthly basis and is up 22.2 percent on an annual basis.
• Healthcare-related construction spending expanded 0.6 percent for the month but is down 8.4 percent from the same time last year.
• Education-related construction spending expanded 1.8 percent for the month and is up 3.6 percent on a year-over-year basis.
• Construction spending in the transportation category expanded 2.7 percent on a monthly basis and has expanded 1.6 percent on an annual basis.
• Highway and street-related construction spending expanded 1.2 percent in October and is up 0.1 percent compared to the same time last year.
• Public safety-related construction spending expanded 11.6 percent on a monthly basis but is down 1.2 percent on a year-over-year basis.
Monthly spending in five nonresidential construction
subsectors declined in October. They are:
• Commercial construction spending fell 2.2 percent for the month but has grown 9.1 percent on a year-over-year basis.
• Communication construction spending declined 1.9 percent for the month and is down 9.4 percent for the year.
• Religious construction spending fell 3.7 percent for the month and is down 4.6 percent from the same time last year.
• Sewage and waste disposal-related construction spending declined 0.4 percent for the month and is down 0.2 percent on a 12-month basis.
• Power construction spending fell 1 percent for the month but is 0.7 percent higher than at the same time one year ago.
• Commercial construction spending fell 2.2 percent for the month but has grown 9.1 percent on a year-over-year basis.
• Communication construction spending declined 1.9 percent for the month and is down 9.4 percent for the year.
• Religious construction spending fell 3.7 percent for the month and is down 4.6 percent from the same time last year.
• Sewage and waste disposal-related construction spending declined 0.4 percent for the month and is down 0.2 percent on a 12-month basis.
• Power construction spending fell 1 percent for the month but is 0.7 percent higher than at the same time one year ago.
Source: BDC
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