Thursday, October 23, 2014

Analysts grill Liberty Property executives on 3Q results amid "multi-year rut"



Analysts took Liberty Property Trust executives to task during a third-quarter earnings conference call, urging the real estate investment trust to make some changes to get it out of a "multi-year rut."


In general, the analysts said the company's stock price and funds from operations have underperformed and more needs to be done to improve those areas. Some analysts urged Liberty to ramp up the sale of suburban office properties putting a drag on the company; consider exiting some markets that aren't part of its core industrial business; and buy back its own stock. Even the issue of succession planning came up as did questioning the company's strategy of spending $335 million to amass 370 acres of land.

"When you look at the company over the past four or five years, FFO has been flat, the total return has lagged peers, year-to-date has lagged as well," said Alex Goldfarb of Sandler O'Neill on the call. "So internally or maybe at the board level, what are the things that you guys discuss?"

It was apparent in a research report Sandler O'Neill issued after the call that the answers Liberty executives gave didn't satisfy many of the issues that were raised.

"It was clear during the Q&A session of Tuesday's call that many analysts are wondering what management will do differently to get the company out of its multi-year rut; management responded that it just needs to focus on executing its business plan," the report said. "If the plan were working well, we would be supportive, but [Liberty Property Trust's] FFO has been flat-lined over the past five years, ranging from $2.65 in 2010 to this year's estimate of $2.45 (our forecast for 2015 is $2.58). [Its] stock price is essentially where it was in late 2009 while its industrial peers, several of whom went through equity recapitalizations, are all well above their late 2009 levels. While management tried to get folks to focus on the December 16th FY15 outlook call as a way to show that all will be well, we wonder what is going to be different if the company intends to execute the same plan that has produced underperformance of the past several years."

Bill Hankowsky, president and CEO of Liberty, said the company is committed to executing on a plan it initiated a few years ago to sell off suburban office and flex properties, having sold off 13.5 million square feet so far. It will continue to buy industrial space but has been stymied this year from acquiring much because it believes prices of industrial buildings are too expensive at this time. As an antidote, the company pointed to its deep development pipeline of 6.7 million square feet totaling $1.4 billion in investment.

"We are going to post some good numbers over the next couple of quarters and everything will be fine," Hankowsky said, trying to reassure the analysts and investors.

The company reported FFO, the accepted measure of a REIT's financial performance, for the third quarter came in at 64 cents a share compared with 57 cents a share for the same period a year ago. For the first nine months, FFO swung to $1.80 a share down from $1.86 a share during the same timeframe last year. Leasing activity has been strong and the company said its 105 million square feet is 92.3 percent occupied.

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