Each Category Shows Areas of Strength but Also Pockets of
Weakness; Association Officials Warn Uneven Pattern is Likely to Last, with
Public Outlays Dropping Sharply if Highway Trust Fund Lapses
Total construction spending rose modestly for the third
straight month in April as a mix of increases and declines in public and
private categories showed the sector’s recovery remains fragile and fragmented,
according to an analysis of new Census Bureau data by the Associated General
Contractors of America (AGC). Association officials said the industry could
benefit from new federal investments in infrastructure to offset declining
public sector demand.
“Residential, private nonresidential and public construction
spending all have areas of strength but also pockets of weakness,” said Ken
Simonson, the association's chief economist. “While the overall trend remains
more positive than last year, growth is likely to be spotty for the foreseeable
future.”
Construction put in place totaled $954 billion in April, 0.2
percent above the revised February total and 8.6 percent higher than in April
2013. The year-over-year growth so far in 2014 has exceeded the full-year
increase of 5.0 percent recorded from 2012 to 2013.
Private residential construction spending inched up 0.1
percent in April to a six-year high. The latest total exceeded the year-ago
level by 17 percent. Single-family construction rose 1.3 percent in April and
14 percent year-over-year. Multifamily spending soared 4.4 percent and 31
percent, respectively. Improvements to existing single- and multifamily
structures slumped 2.2 percent for the month but increased 17 percent from a
year ago.
Private nonresidential spending dipped 0.1 percent in April
but climbed 5.6 percent over 12 months. Most major categories increased from
year-ago levels. However, the largest private segment, power
construction—comprising work on oil and gas fields and pipelines as well as
electricity projects—slipped 0.6 percent for the month and 3.9 percent over the
year. The fastest-growing private type was office construction, which jumped
3.1 percent in April and 26 percent since April 2013.
Public construction spending rose 0.8 percent for the month
and 1.2 percent year-over-year. The largest public segment, highway and street
construction, declined 1.1 percent in April but increased 4.9 percent from a
year before. The second-biggest category, educational construction, gained 3.0
percent and 4.9 percent, respectively.
“The outlook for the rest of 2014 remains uneven,” Simonson
predicted. “Demand for apartments appears to be very strong, but there are
several warning signs about homebuilding. Despite dropping last month, power
and manufacturing construction should remain the leading private nonresidential
categories, with hefty growth for the year as a whole. The rebound in public
construction that occurred last month may not be repeated soon.”
Association officials said that public investments in
highway and street construction will decline significantly unless Congress and
the Obama administration act before July to shore up the Federal Highway Trust
Fund. Current estimates indicate the fund will run out of money by July, likely
putting a halt to federal spending on surface transportation projects across
the country.
Source: AGC
of America
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