Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Is Center City's apartment market being over built?


A rendering of the building that will replace the Shirt Corner. It will feature 59 apartments and a street-level CVS store.

A lingering question for the Center City multifamily market has been whether Philadelphia can absorb all of the apartment projects that have been announced and are currently under construction.

In all, 2,625 units are in the pipeline and another 2,700 units have been announced and going through the approval process. This is on top of the 2,091 units that have already been added to the market. The vacancy rate remains low — below 5 percent.

Center City District has concluded that yes, Philadelphia can handle all of the new multifamily construction.

CCD conducted research and boiled it down into a report it released today that makes a compelling case for Center City’s ability to continue to have a healthy, thriving multifamily market. The main drivers — jobs, population growth and demographic trends toward urban living and living close to where you work — will allow Philadelphia’s multifamily market to absorb the units that come to market, the report concluded.

Between 2011 and 2013, 3,738 new households were formed in Center City. During that same period, 3,209 new housing units were added to the market. Based on that rate and continued population gains, job growth and demographic trends, CCD projected that 5,231 new households will be created between 2013 and 2017 and a total of 5,225 new apartment units will be completed.

One issue that may emerge from all of the new competition is its effect on older apartments buildings that may not have all of the amenities renters increasingly expect and how those landlords will react to those market forces, said Paul Levy, chief executive of CCD. These older buildings may be end up being a less expensive alternative or spur some to undertake renovations to compete. Another issue is whether Center City can hold onto these households once they have school-aged children.


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