Most construction contractors predict that the demand for
construction services will either grow or remain stable in virtually every
market segment this year, and many firms plan to start hiring again, according
to AGC’s recently released survey results conducted as part of Optimism
Returns: The 2014 Construction Industry Hiring and Business Outlook. The survey results reflect a generally upbeat
outlook for the year, even as firms worry about growing worker shortages,
rising costs, and the impact of new regulations and federal budget cutting.
According to the results, many firms plan to begin hiring
again, while relatively few plan to start making layoffs. Contractors have a
relatively positive outlook for virtually all 11 market segments covered in the
Outlook, in particular for private-sector segments. For five of those segments,
at least 40 percent of respondents expect the market to expand and fewer than
20 percent expect the market to decline in 2014. The difference between the
optimists and pessimists – the net positive reading – is a strong 28 percent
for private office, manufacturing and the combined retail/warehouse/lodging
segments, and 25 percent for power and hospital/higher education construction.
Among public sector segments, contractors are more
optimistic about demand for new water and sewer construction, with a net
positive of 17 percent. Contractors are mildly optimistic about the market for
highway construction, with a net positive of 10 percent. Respondents are almost
equally divided regarding the outlook for the other four segments, ranging from
net positives of 5 percent for public buildings, 4 percent for schools, 3
percent for transportation facilities other than highways, to a negative of 2
percent for marine construction.
Ninety percent of construction firms report they expect
prices for key construction materials to increase in 2014. Most, however,
expect those increases will be relatively modest, with 43 percent reporting
they expect the increases to range between 1 and 5 percent. Meanwhile, 82
percent of firms report they expect the cost of providing health care insurance
for their employees will increase in 2014. Despite that, only 1 percent of
firms report they plan to reduce the amount of health care coverage they
provide.
AGC’s chief economist, Ken Simonson, notes that as firms
continue to slowly expand their payrolls, they are likely to have a harder time
finding enough skilled construction workers. Already, 62 percent of responding
firms report having a difficult time filling key professional and craft worker
positions. Two-thirds of firms expect it
will either become harder or remain as difficult to fill professional positions
and 74 percent say it will get harder, or remain as hard, to fill craft worker
positions.
According to Simonson, the worker shortages are already
having an impact on the industry. Fifty-two percent of firms report they are
losing construction professionals to other firms or industries and 55 percent
report they are losing craft workers. As a result, a majority of firms report
they have improved pay and benefits to help retain qualified staff. One reason
they are likely worried is that nearly half of the firms believe training
programs for new craft workers are poor or below average.
The Outlook was based on survey results from over 800
construction firms from every state and the District of Columbia. Contractors of every size answered over 40
questions about their hiring, equipment purchasing and business plans. Click
here for the full report. Click here
for the survey results. Click here
for state-by-state survey results.
Source: AGC
of America
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